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Tommy Jurgens

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Recent Articles

NFL Week 15: ATS picks for Sunday's games, including Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants (+4.5)

The best ATS picks for NFL Week 15, including Minnesota Vikings vs. Indianapolis Colts (+4.5), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5) vs. Cincinnati Bengals and Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants (+4.5).

by Tommy Jurgens 6 months ago

NFL Week 14 betting trends: Red hot Eagles visit home underdog Giants in important divisional tilt

Actionable Week 13 betting trends, including the Eagles — who are 16-3 straight up with Jalen Hurts under center.

by Tommy Jurgens 6 months ago

NFL Week 14: ATS picks for Sunday's games, including Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) vs. Carolina Panthers

The best ATS picks for NFL Week 14, including Los Angeles Chargers (+3.5) vs. Miami Dolphins, Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) vs. Carolina Panthers and Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns (+6).

by Tommy Jurgens 6 months ago

NFL Week 13: Best spread bets for Sunday's games, including Browns -7 in Deshaun Watson debut

The best ATS bets from Tommy Jurgens in Week 13, including the Cleveland Browns -7 as Deshaun Watson debuts in old Houston stomping grounds.

by Tommy Jurgens 6 months ago

Actionable NFL Week 13 Betting Trends: Scorching Commanders visit ATS darling Daniel Jones' Giants in huge divisional tilt

Actionable Week 13 betting trends, including the Giants — with their pristine ATS mark under Daniel Jones — vs surging Commanders in NFC East war.

by Tommy Jurgens 6 months ago

NFL Week 12: Best spread bets for Sunday's games, including fading overvalued 49ers at home

Our top ATS bets in Week 12, including the New Orleans Saints getting 9.5 points on the road against the overvalued San Francisco 49ers.

by Tommy Jurgens 7 months ago

Thanksgiving Betting Primer: Trends, bets, leans, more

All the trends bettors need to know this Thanksgiving, including the Dallas Cowboys' 1-8 ATS as a favorite since 2011. But, like the Detroit Lions, the Cowboys are 7-3 to the Over since 2012.

by Tommy Jurgens 7 months ago

NFL Week 11: Best spread bets, including a letdown spot for Commanders in Houston

The top Week 11 ATS bets, including a comfortable spot to back the Tennessee Titans visiting the Green Bay Packers.

by Tommy Jurgens 7 months ago

Vikings-Bills NFL Week 10 Betting Epic: Bad beats, line movement, lead changes, more

This is the anatomy of a bad beat. Stunning fourth-down conversions and uncharacteristic Buffalo turnovers fueled Minnesota’s shocking victory. This was the game of the year so far, so long as you didn’t have money on the Bills. 

by Tommy Jurgens 7 months ago

NFL Week 10: Best spread bets for Sunday's games, including discount in Dallas-Green Bay

Tommy Jurgen's top Week 10 ATS picks include Aaron Rodgers' Green Bay Packers getting five points at home vs Micah Parsons and the Dallas Cowboys.

by Tommy Jurgens 7 months ago

Week 10 NFL Betting Trends: Shanahan's San Francisco 49ers trustable home favorites?

A sampling of the more obscure, actionable Week 10 NFL betting trends, including Kyle Shanahan's 49ers in a perilous spot as home favorites vs a non-conference opponent in the Chargers on SNF.

by Tommy Jurgens 7 months ago

Week 9 NFL Betting Trends: MNF Home dogs are 20-8-1 to the Under since 2012

Obscure, actionable NFL Week 9 trends from Tommy Jurgens, including Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson 13-1 in his career vs NFC opponents.

by Tommy Jurgens 7 months ago

NFL Week 9: Best spread bets for Sunday's games, including big Bengals bounce back

The best ATS bets to make in Week 9 from Tommy Jurgens include a big Cincinnati Bengals bounce back (-7.5) at Carolina Panthers

by Tommy Jurgens 7 months ago

Betting 101: Explaining Commonly Cited Metrics and Factors in our Handicapping

PFF contributor Tommy Jurgens goes in-depth to explain various advanced terms and metrics commonly utilized and cited in the handicapping process, from Game Script and Success Rate, to EPA and ELO.

by Tommy Jurgens 7 months ago

NFL Week 8: Best spread bets for Sunday's games, including Cowboys -10 vs Bears

Among Tommy Jurgen's favorite NFL spread bets Sunday: The Dallas Cowboys laying 9.5 points vs the Chicago Bears. Dallas' top-rated pass rush by PFF should make life difficult for Justin Fields.

by Tommy Jurgens 8 months ago

NFL Week 8 Betting Trends: Allen's Bills excel as 7+ point home favorite; Packers' Rodgers double-digit dog for first time

Among the more obscure — and actionable — Week 8 betting trends: Led by Josh Allen, the Buffalo Bills (-11.5 vs Green Bay Packers) are 7-2-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7+ points.

by Tommy Jurgens 8 months ago

NFL Week 7: Best spread bets for Sunday's games

Week 7 best ATS bets from Tommy Jurgens include San Francisco getting 2.5 at home vs Patrick Mahomes' Chiefs.

by Tommy Jurgens 8 months ago

NFL Week 7 Betting Trends: Injured 49ers defense Mahomes' next road victim?

Among Tommy Jurgens' Week 7 NFL trends: Patrick Mahomes is 11-4 to the Over in his past 15 regular-season road games, as Chiefs visit banged-up San Francisco 49ers defense.

by Tommy Jurgens 8 months ago

NFL Week 6: Best spread bets for Sunday's games, including Ravens -6 at Giants

The top spread bets in NFL Week 6 include the Baltimore Ravens -6 at the New York Giants, writes Tommy Jurgens.

by Tommy Jurgens 8 months ago

NFL Week 6 Betting Trends: Lamar perfect vs NFC, Kyler ATS road success, more

A sampling of obscure, and actionable trends in Week 6 marquee games, including Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson's 12-0 record against the NFC, Arizona Cardinals QB Kyler Murray's astounding road success ATS and more.

by Tommy Jurgens 8 months ago
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